February 08, 2009

51st Grammy Predictions (Part 2)

【第51回グラミー賞・予想パート2】

予想。

2008年度、第51回グラミー賞のノミネートは全部で110部門。恒例その大予想、パート2。ジャズ、ブルーズ部門など。

発表は2009年2月8日(日曜=午後5時=日本時間9日・月曜午前10時から)、ロスアンジェルスのステイプルズ・センターで行われる。中継はCBS。日本では有料衛星放送WOWOW。12月17日までに投票権のある会員に投票用紙が郵送され、会員は1月14日までに返送、その後集計され、2月8日に発表される。ノミネート対象作品は2007年10月1日から2008年9月30日までに全米でリリースされたものとなっている。

本ソウル・サーチンでは今年は44部門で予想を立てた。目標は本命で5割、本命対抗合わせて8割といったところ。ちなみに直近過去の予想と的中率は次のとおり。 なお予想に関しては、82年くらいからずっと音楽業界紙に発表していてそのデータがどこかにあるのだが、いつか探したいと思う。87年以降のものは、原稿がデジタル化されているので残っているはず。

2007年度(50回)(2008年2月10日発表) 46部門 本命的中24部門 対抗16部門 計40部門 .870
2006年度(49回)(2007年2月11日発表)42部門 本命的中19部門 対抗9部門 計28部門 .667
2005年度(48回)(2006年2月8日発表)42部門 本命的中18部門 対抗12部門 計30部門 .714
2004年度(第47回)(2005年2月14日発表)46部門 本命26部門 対抗7部門 計33部門 .717
2003年度(第46回)(2004年2月8日発表) 47部門 本命20部門 対抗14部門 計34部門 .723
2002年度(第45回)(2003年2月23日発表) 33部門 本命18部門 対抗5部門 計23部門 .696

(発表日は現地時間、日本時間はこの翌日にあたる)

完全なリストは、グラミーの公式ページに。(英語)

http://content.grammy.com/grammy_awards/51st_show/list.aspx

■ 51回グラミー賞ノミネート 予想 パート2

Field 3 — Traditional Pop
Category 14

Best Traditional Pop Vocal Album
(For albums containing 51% or more playing time of VOCAL tracks.)

本命 Still Unforgettable:Natalie Cole
対抗 The Sinatra Project:Michael Feinstein
Noël:Josh Groban
In The Swing Of Christmas:Barry Manilow
Rufus Does Judy At Carnegie Hall:Rufus Wainwright

Field 4 — Rock

Category 15

Best Solo Rock Vocal Performance
(For a solo vocal performance. Singles or Tracks only.)

対抗 Gravity:John Mayer
I Saw Her Standing There:Paul McCartney
本命 Girls In Their Summer Clothes:Bruce Springsteen
Rise:Eddie Vedder
No Hidden Path:Neil Young

Category 16

Best Rock Performance By A Duo Or Group With Vocals
(For duo, group or collaborative performances, with vocals. Singles or Tracks only.)

Rock N Roll Train AC/DC [Columbia]
本命 Violet Hill Coldplay Track from: Viva La Vida Or Death And All His Friends [Capitol Records]
Long Road Out Of Eden Eagles Track from: Long Road Out Of Eden [Eagles Recording Company II]
Sex On Fire Kings Of Leon [RCA Records]
対抗 House Of Cards adiohead rack from: In Rainbows TBD Records]

Category 20

Best Rock Song
(A Songwriter(s) Award. Includes Rock, Hard Rock & Metal songs. For Song Eligibility Guidelines see Category #3. (Artist names appear in parentheses.) Singles or Tracks only.)

対抗 Girls In Their Summer Clothes: Bruce Springsteen, songwriter (Bruce Springsteen) Track from: Magic [Columbia; Publisher: Bruce Springsteen]

House Of Cards Colin: Greenwood, Jonny Greenwood, Ed O'Brien, Philip Selway & Thom Yorke, songwriters (Radiohead) Track from: In Rainbows [TBD Records; Publisher: Warner Chappell Music]

I Will Possess Your Heart: Benjamin Gibbard, Nicholas Harmer, Jason McGerr & Christopher Walla, songwriters (Death Cab For Cutie) Track from: Narrow Stairs [Atlantic; Publishers: EMI Blackwood Music/Where I'm Calling From Music/Shove It Up Your Songs/Giant Beat Songs/Please Pass The Songs]

Sex On Fire : Caleb Followill, Jared Followill, Matthew Followill & Nathan Followill, songwriters (Kings Of Leon) [RCA Records; Publishers: Martha Street Music/Songs of Combustion Music/Music of Windswept, Followill Music/Songs of Combustion Music/Music of Windswept, McFearless Music/Bug Music, Coffee, Tea or Me Publishing/Bug Music]

本命 Violet Hill: Guy Berryman, Jonny Buckland, Will Champion & Chris Martin, songwriters (Coldplay) Track from: Viva La Vida Or Death And All His Friends [Capitol Records; Publisher: Universal Music-MGB Songs]

Category 21

Best Rock Album
(Vocal or Instrumental. Includes Hard Rock and Metal.)

本命 Viva La Vida Or Death And All His Friends: Coldplay [Capitol Records]
Rock N Roll Jesus: Kid Rock [Atlantic]
Only By The Night: Kings Of Leon [RCA Records]
対抗 Death Magnetic: Metallica [Warner Bros.]
Consolers Of The Lonely : The Raconteurs [Third Man/Warner Bros.]


Category 90

Best Album Notes

Art Of Field Recording Volume I: Fifty Years Of Traditional American Music Documented By Art Rosenbaum
Art Rosenbaum, album notes writer (Various Artists)
[Dust-To-Digital]

Debate '08: Taft And Bryan Campaign On The Edison Phonograph
Patrick Feaster & David Giovannoni, album notes writers (William Jennings Bryan & William Howard Taft)
[Archeophone Records]

対抗 Kind Of Blue: 50th Anniversary Collector's Edition
Francis Davis, album notes writer (Miles Davis)
[Columbia/Legacy Recordings]

本命 Rare & Unreleased Recordings From The Golden Reign Of The Queen Of Soul
David Ritz & Jerry Wexler, album notes writers (Aretha Franklin)
[Rhino/Atlantic]

The Unsung Father Of Country Music: 1925-1934
Henry "Hank" Sapoznik, album notes writer (Ernest V. Stoneman)
[5-String Productions]

Category 93

Producer Of The Year, Non-Classical
(A Producer's Award. (Artists names appear in parentheses.))

Danger Mouse

Attack & Release (The Black Keys) (A)
Modern Guilt (Beck) (A)
The Odd Couple (Gnarls Barkley) (A)

Nigel Godrich

In Rainbows (Radiohead) (A)

Johnny K

Big Bad World (Plain White T's) (A)
The Illusion Of Progress (Staind) (A)
Light From Above (Black Tide) (A)
3 Doors Down (3 Doors Down) (A)

対抗 Rick Rubin

Death Magnetic (Metallica) (A)
Home Before Dark (Neil Diamond) (A)
Mercy (Dancing For The Death Of An Imaginary Enemy) (Ours) (A)
Seeing Things (Jakob Dylan) (A)
Weezer (Red Album) (Weezer) (A)

本命 will.i.am

American Boy (Estelle Featuring Kanye West) (T)
Encanto (Sergio Mendes) (A)
Funky Bahia (Sergio Mendes Featuring will.i.am & Siedah Garrett) (T)
In The Ayer (Flo Rida Featuring will.i.am) (T)
Pick It Up (Fergie) (T)
Picture Perfect (Chris Brown Featuring will.i.am) (T)
What's Your Name (Usher Featuring will.i.am) (T)

Category 110

Best Long Form Music Video
(For video album packages consisting of more than one song or track. Award to the Artist and to the Video Director/Producer of at least 51% of the total playing time.)

Where The Light Is — Live In Los Angeles: John Mayer:Danny Clinch, video director; Lindha Narvaez, video producer [Columbia]

Runnin' Down A Dream: Tom Petty & The Heartbreakers: Peter Bogdanovich, video director; Skot Bright, video producer [Warner Bros.]

Good Girl Gone Bad Live: Rihanna: Paul Caslin, video director; John Paveley, Ruth Paveley & Rupert Style, video producers: [Def Jam/SRP Records/Mercury Music Group/Universal Music]

本命 Respect Yourself — The Stax Records Story (Various Artists): Robert Gordon & Morgan Neville, video directors; Mark Crosby, Robert Gordon & Morgan Neville, video producers [Stax/Tremolo Productions/Concord Music Group]

対抗 Amazing Journey: The Story Of The Who: The Who: Paul Crowder & Murray Lerner, video directors; Robert Rosenberg & Nigel Sinclair, video producers [Universal Home Entertainment]

Field 10 — Jazz

Category 45

Best Contemporary Jazz Album
(For albums containing 51% or more playing time of INSTRUMENTAL tracks.)

Randy In Brasil: Randy Brecker [MAMA Records]
Floating Point: John McLaughlin [Abstract Logix]
対抗 Cannon Re-Loaded: All-Star Celebration Of Cannonball Adderley: (Various Artists): Gregg Field & Tom Scott, producers [Concord Jazz]
本命 Miles From India (Various Artists) : Bob Belden, producer [4Q/Times Square Records]
Lifecycle: Yellowjackets Featuring Mike Stern: [Heads Up International]

Category 46

Best Jazz Vocal Album
(For albums containing 51% or more playing time of VOCAL tracks.)

Imagina: Songs Of Brasil: Karrin Allyson [Concord Jazz]
対抗 Breakfast On The Morning Tram: Stacey Kent [Blue Note]
If Less Is More...Nothing Is Everything: Kate McGarry [Palmetto Records]
本命 Loverly: Cassandra Wilson [Blue Note]
Distances: Norma Winstone (Glauco Venier & Klaus Gesing) [ECM]

Category 47

Best Jazz Instrumental Solo
(For an instrumental jazz solo performance. Two equal performers on one recording may be eligible as one entry. If the soloist listed appears on a recording billed to another artist, the latter's name is in parenthesis for identification. Singles or Tracks only.)

Be-Bop: Terence Blanchard, soloist: Track from: Live At The 2007 Monterey Jazz Festival (Monterey Jazz Festival 50th Anniversary All-Stars) [Monterey Jazz Festival Records]

Seven Steps To Heaven: Till Brönner, soloist Track from: The Standard (Take 6) [Heads Up International]

対抗 Waltz For Debby: Gary Burton & Chick Corea, soloists Track from: The New Crystal Silence [Concord Records]

Son Of Thirteen: Pat Metheny, soloist : Track from: Day Trip [Nonesuch Records]

本命 Be-Bop: James Moody, soloist Track from: Live At The 2007 Monterey Jazz Festival (Monterey Jazz Festival 50th Anniversary All-Stars) [Monterey Jazz Festival Records]

Category 48

Best Jazz Instrumental Album, Individual or Group
(For albums containing 51% or more playing time of INSTRUMENTAL tracks.)

対抗The New Crystal Silence: Chick Corea & Gary Burton [Concord Records]
History, Mystery : Bill Frisell: [Nonesuch Records]
Brad Mehldau Trio: Live: Brad Mehldau Trio [Nonesuch Records]
本命 Day Trip: Pat Metheny With Christian McBride & Antonio Sanchez [Nonesuch Records]
Standards: Alan Pasqua, Dave Carpenter & Peter Erskine Trio: [Fuzzy Music]

Category 49

Best Large Jazz Ensemble Album
(For large jazz ensembles, including big band sounds. Albums must contain 51% or more INSTRUMENTAL tracks.)

対抗 Appearing Nightly: Carla Bley And Her Remarkable Big Band [WATT]
Act Your Age: Gordon Goodwin's Big Phat Band [Immergent]
Symphonica: Joe Lovano With WDR Big Band & Rundfunk Orchestra [Blue Note]
Blauklang : Vince Mendoza [Act Music and Vision (AMV)]
本命Monday Night Live At The Village Vanguard: The Vanguard Jazz Orchestra
[Planet Arts Recordings]

Field 11 — Gospel

Category 51

Best Gospel Performance
(For solo, duo, group as collaborative performances. Singles or tracks with vocal containing Gospel lyrics. All genres of Gospel music are eligible.)

対抗 I Understand : Kim Burrell, Rance Allen, Bebe Winans & Mariah CareyTrack from: Randy Jackson's Music Club, Volume One[Concord Records/Dream Merchant 21 Ent.]

East To West: Casting Crowns: Track from: The Altar And The Door Live [Beach Street/Reunion Records]

Get Up: Mary Mary: Track from: The Sound [Columbia]

本命 Shall We Gather At The River: Take 6: Track from: The Standard [Heads Up International]

Waging War: CeCe Winans: Track from: Thy Kingdom Come: [PureSprings Gospel/EMI Gospel]

Category 52

Best Gospel Song
(A Songwriter(s) Award. For Song Eligibility Guidelines see Category #3. (Artist names appear in parentheses.) Singles or Tracks only.)

Cover Me: James L. Moss, songwriter (21:03 With Fred Hammond, Smokie Norful & J Moss): [Verity/Zomba Gospel; Publisher: Millenni-era Music]

対抗 Get Up: Erica Campbell, Tina Campbell, Warryn Campbell & Eric Dawkins, songwriters (Mary Mary): Track from: The Sound [Columbia; Publishers: Wet Ink Red Music/That's Plum Song/It's Tea Tyme/EMI April/E.D. Duz-It Music/Irving Music/Underdog Songs]

Give Me Your Eyes: Brandon Heath & Jason Ingram, songwriters (Brandon Heath): Track from: What If We [Reunion Records; Publishers: Sitka6 Music/Peertunes/Grange Hill Music/Windsor Way Music]

本命 Help Me Believe: Kirk Franklin, songwriter (Kirk Franklin): Track from: The Fight Of My Life [Fo Yo Soul Ent./Zomba Gospel ; Publishers: Universal Music-Z Songs/Kerrion Publishing]

You Reign: Jim Bryson, Steven Curtis Chapman, Nathan Cochran, Barry Graul, Bart Millard, Mike Scheuchzer & Robby Shaffer, songwriters (MercyMe): Track from: All That Is Within Me [INO Records; Publishers: Simpleville Music/Wet As A Fish Music, Sparrow Song/Peach Hill Songs]

Category 57

Best Contemporary R&B Gospel Album
(For albums containing 51% or more playing time of VOCAL tracks.)

本命 Reflections: Jason Champion [EMI Gospel/Brooks Entertainment]
対抗 The Fight Of My Life: Kirk Franklin [Fo Yo Soul Entertainment/ Zomba Gospel]
The Sound: Mary Mary [Columbia]
Donald Lawrence Introduces: Family Prayer: The Murrills [Quiet Water/ Verity]
Stand Out: Tye Tribbett & G.A. [Columbia]

Field 13 — Blues

Category 66

Best Traditional Blues Album
(Vocal or Instrumental.)

対抗 The Blues Rolls On: Elvin Bishop [Delta Groove Music, Inc.]
Skin Deep: Buddy Guy [Silvertone Records]
All Odds Against Me: John Lee Hooker Jr.[Steppin' Stone Records/CC Entertainment]
本命 One Kind Favor: B.B. King [Geffen Records]
Pinetop Perkins & Friends: Pinetop Perkins & Friends[Stoneagle Music/Telarc]

Category 67

Best Contemporary Blues Album
(Vocal or Instrumental.)

Peace, Love & BBQ: Marcia Ball [Alligator Records]
本命 Like A Fire: Solomon Burke [Shout! Factory]
City That Care Forgot: Dr. John And The Lower 911 [429 Records]
Maestro: Taj Mahal [Heads Up International]
対抗 Simply Grand: Irma Thomas [Rounder Records]

Field 2 — Dance

Category 12

Best Dance Recording
(For solo, duo, group or collaborative performances. Vocal or Instrumental. Singles or tracks only.)

Harder Better Faster Stronger: Daft Punk: Thomas Bangalter & Guy Manuel de Homem-Christo, producers; Thomas Bangalter & Guy Manuel de Homem-Christo, mixers: Track from: Alive 2007
[Virgin Records]

Ready For The Floor: Hot Chip: Hot Chip, producers; Dan Carey, mixer: Track from: Made In The Dark [Astralwerks/DFA]

Just Dance: Lady Gaga & Colby O'Donis: RedOne, producer; Robert Orton, mixer: [Streamline/Interscope/Kon Live]

本命Give It 2 Me: Madonna: Madonna & The Neptunes, producers; Andrew Coleman & Spike Stent, mixers: Track from: Hard Candy [Warner Bros.]

対抗 Disturbia: Rihanna: Brian Kennedy, producer; Phil Tan, mixer: Track from: Good Girl Gone Bad: Reloaded: [Def Jam]

Black & Gold: Sam Sparro: Jesse Rogg & Sam Sparro, producers; Jeremy Wheatley, mixer: Track from: Sam Sparro [Universal Republic Records]

Category 13

Best Electronic/Dance Album
(For vocal or instrumental albums. Albums only.)

New York City: Brazilian Girls: [Verve Forecast]
本命 Alive 2007: Daft Punk [Virgin Records]
対抗 Bring Ya To The Brink: Cyndi Lauper [Epic]
X: Kylie Minogue [Capitol/Astralwerks]
Last Night: Moby [Mute]
Robyn: Robyn [Konichiwa/Cherrytree/Interscope]


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ENT>AWARD>GRAMMY>51st, Nomination

投稿者 吉岡正晴 : February 8, 2009 02:45 AM
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